Cooper Flagg and the NBA Draft Dilemma: Could Duke’s Star Freshman Shock the World by Leaving the Wildcats?
In a heartfelt Instagram post on April 21, 2025, Duke freshman Cooper Flagg officially declared for the NBA Draft, marking the end of a remarkable single season with the Blue Devils. Flagg, who led Duke to the Final Four and earned accolades such as the Wooden Award and ACC Player of the Year, expressed deep gratitude for his time at Duke, calling it “the best year of my life” . Standing at 6-foot-9, Flagg averaged 19.2 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game over 37 games, showcasing his versatility and skill.
Despite his declaration, there has been speculation about the possibility of Flagg returning to college basketball. NBA analyst Kevin O’Connor noted that while betting odds favor a return to Duke, he believes Flagg is more likely to join an NBA team, citing the significant financial incentives and career opportunities that await him . Furthermore, former Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski advised Flagg to “just be smart for you,” emphasizing the importance of making decisions that align with his personal and professional goals .
By all accounts, Cooper Flagg’s one season at Duke was the stuff of legend. The 6’9” freshman forward arrived with sky-high expectations—and somehow, he surpassed them. Dominating on both ends of the floor, Flagg turned in a historic season, collecting accolades like the Naismith and Wooden Awards and carrying the Blue Devils to the Final Four. Yet, in a move that has sparked a whirlwind of speculation, Flagg’s recent announcement declaring for the 2025 NBA Draft may not be the end of his collegiate story. As the draft deadline looms, fans and analysts alike are asking: could Cooper Flagg actually return to Duke?
The Rise of a Star
Flagg’s ascension was meteoric. Hailing from Newport, Maine, he captured the basketball world’s attention long before he set foot on Duke’s campus. His high school dominance at Montverde Academy made him the consensus No. 1 recruit in the class of 2024, and he reclassified to enroll at Duke a year early. From his very first game in a Blue Devils uniform, it was clear he was a generational talent.
Over the course of the 2024-2025 season, Flagg averaged 19.2 points, 7.5 rebounds, 4.2 assists, and 2.3 blocks per game. He was Duke’s heartbeat—versatile, unselfish, and relentless. He led with both poise and passion, anchoring a team that flirted with greatness throughout the season and ultimately reached the Final Four.
His court vision and decision-making set him apart, but it was his defense that left scouts drooling. Rarely does a freshman show such defensive instincts, switching onto guards and bigs alike, altering shots with perfect timing, and leading fast breaks with ease. Flagg wasn’t just a highlight reel; he was a system all by himself.
The Instagram Post That Stirred the Pot
On April 21, Flagg posted an emotional farewell to Duke on Instagram, officially declaring for the NBA Draft. In it, he thanked Coach Jon Scheyer, the program, and Duke fans, calling it “the best year of my life.” While the tone of the message suggested finality, its wording wasn’t ironclad. And that ambiguity is what has sparked a flurry of debate.
Within hours, NBA Twitter, ACC forums, and college hoops podcasts were buzzing. Was this really goodbye? Could Flagg, who has expressed love for the college experience and mentioned “unfinished business,” be considering a shocking return?
What the Experts Are Saying
Analysts are split. Kevin O’Connor of The Ringer noted that while Flagg is a lock for the top three picks in the draft—possibly No. 1 overall—the culture around him suggests a real internal conflict. “This isn’t just a formality,” O’Connor said. “There are whispers. His camp isn’t rushing anything.”
Former Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski chimed in too, offering measured advice during a podcast appearance: “Just be smart for you. Don’t get caught up in hype—college or pro. Just do what’s best for your future.” Coming from Coach K, that’s telling. It’s not a push toward the NBA or back to Durham. It’s an open-ended endorsement of what Flagg wants most.
Money Talks—But So Does Legacy
The case for leaving is obvious. Flagg could earn a rookie-scale deal worth nearly $50 million with a top pick, not including endorsements, which could double that figure. Brands are already circling. He’s marketable, clean-cut, and supremely talented—the face of a franchise waiting to happen.
But Flagg has never seemed driven by flash. Insiders have long described him as grounded, thoughtful, and focused on development. He’s hinted that he values personal growth as much as professional acclaim. Could he really turn down the NBA money and spotlight, even for just one more year?
Returning would cement him as a Duke legend. With several core teammates likely to return, Flagg’s presence could make the Blue Devils title favorites in 2026. He could chase redemption after the semifinal loss and write one of the most unique college basketball stories in recent memory.
The NIL Factor
It’s worth noting how much the college basketball landscape has changed. Thanks to Name, Image, and Likeness (NIL) deals, players like Flagg can now earn significant money while staying in school. Duke’s top players reportedly received NIL packages in the seven-figure range in 2024—and Flagg, the biggest name in the sport, could easily eclipse that.
So while the financial gap between college and the NBA is still large, it’s not what it used to be. If Flagg stays, he’d be sacrificing some short-term wealth—but not all of it. And he’d continue building a personal brand that could pay dividends long after his playing career.
NBA Teams on Watch
Three teams—Charlotte Hornets, Washington Wizards, and Utah Jazz—currently hold the highest odds to land the top pick in May’s draft lottery. All three could use a foundational talent like Flagg. The Wizards and Hornets, in particular, are in rebuilding mode and would likely offer Flagg immediate starting roles and marketing leverage.
Still, none of these teams screams “ideal fit.” Some analysts suggest that the uncertainty around Flagg’s interest in these destinations is part of the hesitancy. “If the Spurs or Thunder were at the top, this wouldn’t be a conversation,” said one scout. “But if you’re Flagg and you have the leverage… maybe you wait.”
The Deadline Looms
Flagg’s declaration is not binding—yet. Under NCAA rules, players have until May 29 to withdraw from the NBA Draft, provided they haven’t signed with an agent or accepted compensation. That gives him over a month to gauge team interest, visit NBA front offices, and see how the lottery shakes out on May 12.
If Flagg hears something he doesn’t like—or if he simply misses the college life—he can still return. The door remains open, however unlikely.
The Social Media Ripple Effect
Flagg’s announcement quickly became the most viewed post on Duke Basketball’s social media platforms this season. Fan reactions ranged from tearful thank-yous to hopeful speculation. Teammates chimed in, with several sharing ambiguous emoji-filled responses that only added to the mystery.
Recruiting experts note that Flagg’s choice could also influence other top talents. If he returns, Duke’s 2025 class becomes arguably the greatest ever assembled. If he leaves, his example still sets a gold standard for what one dominant year in college can mean.
What Will Flagg Do?
Ultimately, Cooper Flagg’s decision will define a key moment in the evolving relationship between college basketball and the NBA. It’s no longer a straight line from high school to the pros. There’s nuance now—opportunities to build, to explore, and to decide when the moment is truly right.
Most expect him to go. He’s too good, too ready, and too valuable. But Flagg is anything but typical, and if any player were to shatter expectations and choose the college game one more time—it would be him.
And if that happens, Cameron Indoor Stadium won’t just shake. It will erupt.
