Arch Manning’s emergence as a top NFL Draft prospect has ignited widespread discussion among analysts and fans alike. As the nephew of NFL legends Peyton and Eli Manning, Arch carries a legacy that adds to the intrigue surrounding his potential. His journey from a highly anticipated recruit to a starting quarterback at the University of Texas has been marked by impressive performances and increasing expectations.
Early Career and Development
Arch Manning began his college career at Texas as a redshirt freshman in 2023. During his first two seasons, he served as a backup to Quinn Ewers, gaining valuable experience in practice and limited game situations. In 2024, Manning appeared in 12 games, starting two, and showcased his abilities by completing 61 of 90 passes for 939 yards, nine touchdowns, and two interceptions. Additionally, he demonstrated mobility and playmaking skills with 108 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns.
Manning’s most notable performance came in a game against Mississippi State, where he passed for 324 yards and two touchdowns, leading Texas to a decisive victory. This outing highlighted his poise and efficiency, qualities that NFL scouts value highly.
2025 Season: The Spotlight Shifts
With Quinn Ewers declaring for the 2025 NFL Draft, the starting quarterback position at Texas has been handed to Manning. This transition places him under the national spotlight, with expectations soaring as he steps into a leadership role for a team with national championship aspirations. Analysts anticipate that Manning’s performance in the 2025 season will significantly influence his draft stock for the 2026 NFL Draft.
Manning’s skill set is often compared to that of his uncles, with a strong arm, accuracy, and the ability to read defenses. However, he also brings a level of mobility and athleticism that distinguishes him from his predecessors, allowing him to make plays both in and out of the pocket.
Draft Projections and Analyst Opinions
As the 2026 NFL Draft approaches, Manning’s name has consistently appeared in early mock drafts as a potential top-10 selection. Draft analyst Shane Hallam projected Manning to be chosen by the Tennessee Titans with the No. 7 overall pick, contingent on a standout 2025 season. Similarly, Rob Rang has highlighted Manning as a top prospect, noting that his performance could elevate him to the No. 1 overall pick if he continues to develop and perform at a high level.
Despite the high praise, some analysts caution that Manning’s limited starting experience could be a factor in his evaluation. While his talent is undeniable, the transition to a full-time starting role in a high-pressure environment will be a critical test of his readiness for the NFL.
NIL Deals and Marketability
Beyond his on-field performance, Manning’s marketability has been bolstered by lucrative NIL (Name, Image, and Likeness) deals. In early 2025, he signed a seven-figure deal with Red Bull, raising his NIL valuation to $6.6 million, surpassing other prominent college athletes. This endorsement underscores his appeal not only as a football prospect but also as a marketable figure in college sports.
Arch Manning’s ascent from a highly touted recruit to a starting quarterback at Texas has been a captivating journey for college football fans and NFL analysts alike. With the 2025 season set to showcase his talents on a national stage, all eyes will be on Manning as he aims to fulfill the lofty expectations set before him. His performance this season will be pivotal in determining his position in the 2026 NFL Draft, where he is projected to be a top selection.
